The Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s Division of Market Oversight and Division of Clearing and Risk announced a no-action position regarding certain swap data reporting and recordkeeping rules.
This decision clears the way for Polymarket to offer event contracts in the U.S., marking a significant milestone for the platform and the broader derivatives market.
What the No-Action Letter Means
The CFTC’s no-action letter applies to QCX LLC, a designated contract market, and QC Clearing LLC, a derivatives clearing organization, which Polymarket uses to offer its products. Essentially, the divisions will not recommend enforcement against these entities or their participants if they do not fully comply with certain recordkeeping and swap reporting requirements for binary options and variable payout contracts.
Polymarket has been given the green light to go live in the USA by the @CFTC.
Credit to the Commission and Staff for their impressive work. This process has been accomplished in record timing.
Stay tuned https://t.co/NVziTixpqO
— Shayne Coplan 🦅 (@shayne_coplan) September 3, 2025
Binary options are contracts that pay out based on whether a specific event occurs, similar to betting on a yes-or-no outcome. Variable payout contracts offer different amounts depending on how events unfold. Both types of contracts are central to Polymarket’s platform, allowing users to speculate on topics ranging from politics to economic indicators. By receiving a no-action letter, Polymarket can operate under a defined set of rules, similar to previous approvals for other designated contract markets and clearing organizations.
Prediction markets are going to replace the memecoins.
And Polymarket will lead the way. https://t.co/g0a09Ugx7l
— Sibel (@sibeleth) September 2, 2025
Real-world examples show the potential impact. During the 2020 U.S. election, Polymarket users placed millions of dollars in trades predicting outcomes of key races, providing real-time insight into market sentiment. With regulatory clarity, U.S. users can now participate without uncertainty over enforcement risk, while Polymarket can continue expanding its offerings in a compliant manner.
More About Predictions Markets, and Crypto
A new research study mapped 27 crypto prediction markets, including apps, bots, and accessible documentation, to better understand this rapidly growing ecosystem. The study identified clear clusters: Social, Binary, Continuous, Customisable, Bots, Oracle/Infrastructure, Card Pack, and Others at the idea stage. Some interesting patterns emerged from the analysis.
Prediction Market 2025 Megathread 🔮
I’ve looked into 27 crypto prediction markets (tested apps, bots, and docs where avail) to map this growing ecosystem. Here’s how the clusters look: Social, Binary, Continuous, Customisable, Bots, Oracle/Infra, Card Pack, and Others (Idea… pic.twitter.com/FZtfHnHDaJ
— lili.hl ✰ ツ (@lililashka) August 25, 2025
In some markets, distribution mattered more than mechanics, showing that how information spreads can be more important than complex rules. In other clusters, smaller bets emphasized fun over liquidity, while in high-stakes markets, liquidity took precedence over entertainment, attracting larger “whale” bets. These insights reveal how different segments of the prediction market ecosystem balance engagement, mechanics, and capital.
Disclaimer
The information discussed by Altcoin Buzz is not financial advice. This is for educational, entertainment, and informational purposes only. Any information or strategies presented are the thoughts and opinions of the writer/reviewers, and their risk tolerance may differ from yours. We are not responsible for any losses you may incur due to any investments directly or indirectly related to the information provided. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are high-risk investments; therefore, please conduct your due diligence. Copyright Altcoin Buzz Pte Ltd.
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